Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000337 0.000378 0.000423 0.000475 0.000534 0.000599 0.000677
2024-12-22 0.000248 0.000302 0.000367 0.000451 0.000555 0.000681 0.000847
2024-12-29 0.000205 0.000267 0.000345 0.000452 0.000597 0.000786 0.001056
2025-01-05 0.000183 0.000250 0.000340 0.000471 0.000659 0.000921 0.001322
2025-01-12 0.000157 0.000224 0.000318 0.000461 0.000676 0.000994 0.001508
2025-01-19 0.000134 0.000198 0.000290 0.000438 0.000670 0.001029 0.001639
2025-01-26 0.000122 0.000186 0.000283 0.000442 0.000705 0.001129 0.001887
2025-02-02 0.000116 0.000182 0.000286 0.000464 0.000768 0.001282 0.002246
2025-02-09 0.000105 0.000170 0.000274 0.000459 0.000787 0.001362 0.002488
2025-02-16 0.000098 0.000162 0.000269 0.000464 0.000822 0.001474 0.002806
2025-02-23 0.000090 0.000153 0.000259 0.000459 0.000839 0.001555 0.003075
2025-03-02 0.000084 0.000146 0.000253 0.000461 0.000867 0.001660 0.003409
2025-03-09 0.000078 0.000139 0.000247 0.000463 0.000898 0.001779 0.003803
2025-03-16 0.000070 0.000126 0.000230 0.000442 0.000883 0.001804 0.004000
2025-03-23 0.000065 0.000121 0.000225 0.000445 0.000915 0.001932 0.004458
2025-03-30 0.000063 0.000120 0.000228 0.000463 0.000984 0.002152 0.005180
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000112 0.000218 0.000453 0.000988 0.002226 0.005551
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000102 0.000203 0.000430 0.000961 0.002222 0.005720
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000099 0.000201 0.000435 0.000998 0.002378 0.006354
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000099 0.000205 0.000456 0.001077 0.002652 0.007378
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000094 0.000199 0.000451 0.001092 0.002765 0.007958
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000092 0.000197 0.000456 0.001132 0.002949 0.008795
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000088 0.000191 0.000452 0.001147 0.003066 0.009449